Quilmes vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 0
QUI
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
DEP
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
MOR
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAI
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 3
ALM
25%
29%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALV
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
ALM
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 1
DEP
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |