Quilmes vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 0
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
GOD
1 - 0
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 2
QUI
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
OLI
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATT
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 0
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
CHA
4 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 0
IRV
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AND
2 - 2
ALM
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |