Quilmes vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 0
RAC
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 0
QUI
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 0
ARS
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
QUI
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
NOB
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
ALM
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 1
EST
33%
30%
38%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 2
ALM
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALM
3 - 1
INS
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |