QRM vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
QUE
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 1
ORL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 1
ORL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 2
QUE
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 2
NIO
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
USB
1 - 0
LUZ
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
USB
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
USB
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
USB
1 - 2
MON
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 1
USB
58%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |