QRM vs Poissy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
LEN
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 0
DIE
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ROY
2 - 2
QUE
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
QUE
4 - 0
AUB
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
QUE
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
POI
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
POI
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
POI
4 - 1
AUB
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
POI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
POI
1 - 0
PSG
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |