QRM vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
QUE
1 - 2
ESW
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
QUE
6 - 1
LAR
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
MON
1 - 0
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
LHA
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 0
GUI
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
LMU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
REI
3 - 2
GUI
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |