QRM vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 1
QUE
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 3
GAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 1
LPS
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
QUE
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
QUE
2 - 0
ORL
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 0
ORL
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
FRE
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
NIO
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
PFC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
FRE
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |