QRM vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 1
QUE
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
GAZ
0 - 0
QUE
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 0
ASB
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
BRC
1 - 2
QUE
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
LUS
3 - 0
ORL
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 1
LUS
34%
28%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 2
NIO
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
5 - 1
LUS
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
PFC
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |