QRM vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
NIO
2 - 0
QUE
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
QUE
0 - 3
SPI
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 0
QUE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 2
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
QUE
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 2
BRC
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NIO
4 - 0
BAY
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 1
BAY
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |