QRM II vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AGC
2 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
QUE
1 - 2
AFV
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
GRQ
3 - 4
QUE
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
QUE
1 - 0
AVR
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
QUE
5 - 0
SAI
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 3
EVR
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
ALE
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 5
SAI
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
GON
4 - 5
ALE
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 0
FCR
8%
18%
74%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | +1 |