QRM II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
QUE
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
QUE
2 - 3
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EVR
2 - 0
QUE
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
QUE
0 - 0
ALA
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DIE
2 - 0
QUE
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 0
SAI
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAY
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 1
GON
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FCR
4 - 0
BAY
85%
12%
3%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 1
CHE
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |