Querétaro vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MON
2 - 0
QRO
56%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
QRO
3 - 2
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 1
QRO
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
QRO
1 - 0
MOR
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 1
QRO
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATS
62%
19%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MON
3 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 1
AUR
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 4
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |