Copa MX Last 16
Global 4-5
Querétaro vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
QRO
3 - 0
TIJ
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LEO
3 - 1
QRO
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
QRO
2 - 3
NEC
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
NEC
3 - 0
QRO
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
QRO
3 - 1
MOR
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
JUA
4 - 4
PUM
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
JUA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
JUA
7 - 0
PUE
78%
16%
7%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
JUA
1 - 2
TIG
19%
27%
54%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PUM
1 - 1
JUA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +2 |