Queimadense vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queimadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 2
CSP
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 0
SOU
15%
20%
66%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 1
QUE
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
BOT
11%
19%
71%
|
25 | 61 | 36 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
QUE
10%
15%
75%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CSP
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
NAC
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AUT
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |