Queensland Lions FC vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
4º
4º
9
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 3
QUE
14%
19%
68%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
QUE
4 - 0
SUN
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
BRR
0 - 5
QUE
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
QUE
3 - 2
OLY
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RED
0 - 0
GOL
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
7 - 0
RED
83%
11%
5%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RED
0 - 2
BRI
24%
20%
55%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 2
RED
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BRR
2 - 4
RED
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |