Queensland Lions FC vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 4
QUE
5%
11%
84%
|
42 | 5 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
WES
2 - 3
QUE
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
QUE
5 - 0
MAG
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
NOF
0 - 6
QUE
6%
13%
81%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
QUE
6 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 1
WES
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 2
MOR
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
NOF
2 - 3
MOR
8%
15%
77%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 0
MOR
65%
18%
18%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
BRI
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |