Queensland Lions FC vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
3 - 2
MIT
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NPI
3 - 2
QUE
7%
13%
80%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 3
UNI
89%
9%
2%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
IPS
1 - 3
QUE
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 1
EAS
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
MIT
3 - 0
HPH
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
3 - 2
MIT
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 5
MIT
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 1
ROC
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
MIT
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |