Queensland Lions FC vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BRR
2 - 1
QUE
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
GCK
0 - 1
QUE
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 7
QUE
11%
16%
74%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
QUE
5 - 1
MAG
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 2
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 2
SUN
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
LOG
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 1
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 2
MOR
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |