Queensland Lions FC vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
4º
4º
23
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PRS
1 - 4
QUE
26%
20%
54%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 0
RED
88%
9%
4%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 3
QUE
14%
19%
68%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
QUE
4 - 0
SUN
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 1
OLY
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 1
WYN
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RED
0 - 0
GOL
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
GOL
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 3
PEN
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |