Queensland Lions FC vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
5º
48
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 3
ROC
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 1
OLY
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
GOL
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BRR
0 - 1
QUE
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
GCK
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GCK
2 - 1
BRR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
GCK
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RED
0 - 3
GCK
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |