Queensland Lions FC vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 5
QUE
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 0
OLY
32%
23%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 4
QUE
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 0
QUE
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
QUE
0 - 3
OLY
40%
23%
37%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -5 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BWF
3 - 3
GCK
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 3
PEN
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 1
GCK
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GCK
5 - 1
CAP
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GCK
2 - 0
SUN
82%
11%
6%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -2 |