Queensland Lions FC vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
5º
9
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
GCK
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 3
ROC
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 1
OLY
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
GOL
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
PEN
32%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BRR
5 - 0
EAS
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
EAS
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 2
EAS
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 5
RED
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |