Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 2
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 2
STO
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 1
BHA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
DER
1 - 0
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
REA
5 - 0
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DER
2 - 1
CRY
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
LUT
1 - 0
DER
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |