Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
WBA
2 - 1
QPR
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
ASV
3 - 1
QPR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 3
QPR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1979 |
BIR
3 - 1
QPR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
EVE
2 - 1
QPR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1979 |
WBA
2 - 1
DER
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
DER
0 - 0
EVE
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
DER
3 - 0
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
MID
3 - 1
DER
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
DER
0 - 1
LEE
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |