Queens Park Rangers vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
QPR
4 - 2
ROT
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 3
QPR
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
QPR
2 - 2
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
YEO
0 - 3
QPR
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
QPR
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
4 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CUM
4 - 4
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CUM
3 - 1
CHE
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
CUM
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |