Queen's Park vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen's Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 0
BER
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PET
1 - 1
QUE
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
KIL
2 - 0
QUE
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 0
STM
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
QUE
2 - 1
SPA
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ICT
0 - 0
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AYR
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
AYR
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AYR
5 - 0
STE
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 2
AYR
12%
17%
71%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |