Queen of the South vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
STJ
5 - 0
QOS
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
QOS
0 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
HAM
1 - 1
QOS
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
QOS
0 - 2
CLY
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 1
QOS
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 0
ROS
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 1
HAM
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CLY
1 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 1
STJ
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
KIL
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |