Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
7º
6º
31
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 0
DUM
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STE
0 - 0
QOS
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 1
ARB
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
QOS
0 - 3
AIR
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 0
QOS
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 0
BLA
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
KHE
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KHE
1 - 3
COV
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 1
ELG
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
KHE
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |