Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 3
QOS
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
QOS
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
QOS
1 - 1
CWB
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
QOS
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUM
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 0
FAL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 1
RAI
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
HAM
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 0
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
HAM
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |