Queen of the South vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 3
QOS
11%
21%
68%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
QOS
5 - 1
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 5
QOS
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
STE
1 - 3
QOS
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
QOS
4 - 1
STR
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STE
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 4
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
EAS
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |