Queen of the South vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
QOS
5 - 2
ALL
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 1
QOS
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
QOS
3 - 5
ROS
21%
27%
52%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RAI
3 - 1
QOS
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
QOS
0 - 4
LIV
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
DUN
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
STE
1 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
ALB
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CWB
2 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |