Queen of the South vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 0
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
QOS
0 - 1
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
QOS
2 - 0
FAL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 2
QOS
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
QOS
22%
25%
54%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DUM
3 - 3
RAI
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DUM
2 - 1
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUM
39%
24%
38%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DUM
2 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HAM
3 - 3
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |