Queen of the South vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
QOS
2 - 1
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
QOS
0 - 1
GLA
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
QOS
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
RAI
0 - 0
QOS
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
QOS
2 - 2
AIR
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
DUM
0 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CLY
4 - 2
DUM
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DUM
0 - 2
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALL
1 - 2
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
DUM
3 - 3
CLY
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |