Queen of the South vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
59.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
QOS
5 - 0
AYR
31%
25%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 3
QOS
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
QOS
2 - 4
STJ
25%
23%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
STE
0 - 3
QOS
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 3
COL
46%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 1
PSN
84%
12%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 2
CRU
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |