Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
7º
6º
34
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 46% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
QOS
1 - 1
BLA
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
QOS
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 1
STE
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
QOS
42%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cove Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 4
COV
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COV
2 - 0
ALL
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
COV
0 - 0
KHE
51%
23%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
COV
33%
24%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
COV
0 - 3
STE
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |