Quarteirense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
QUA
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 1
QUA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
3 - 1
ALJ
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
QUA
68%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 0
MOU
32%
28%
40%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRA
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 3
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
3 - 1
ANG
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |