Quarteirense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
QUA
4 - 0
EDL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUA
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
QUA
3 - 2
COV
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 0
QUA
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 1
LOU
43%
26%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUS
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 1
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
CIN
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |