Quarteirense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
QUA
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
QUA
2 - 4
SER
8%
17%
76%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALM
5 - 2
QUA
16%
20%
65%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIA
3 - 0
QUA
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 5
UDL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TON
0 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
MAF
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
POR
16%
23%
62%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 0
BEL
11%
20%
70%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -1 |