Kokand 1912 vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
5º
3º
22
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kokand 1912
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKL
2 - 1
QOQ
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
QOQ
5 - 3
FKA
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 1
QOQ
9%
17%
74%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
QOQ
2 - 1
URF
87%
10%
4%
|
58 | 17 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 1
QOQ
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
XOR
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 1
DSA
13%
22%
65%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
FKL
10%
19%
72%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 2
NAV
10%
19%
70%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ORO
23%
19%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |