Qizilqum vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
11º
10º
25
5º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 33 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 22 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUN
1 - 3
QIZ
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 1
MIL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 1
QIZ
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
QIZ
61%
22%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MIE
1 - 2
QIZ
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
TER
0 - 3
PAK
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
HBK
4 - 1
TER
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 1
TER
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
TER
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
TER
3 - 1
NPA
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |