Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
DSA
0 - 0
QIZ
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
QIZ
3 - 1
BUN
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
QIZ
2 - 0
FKL
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
QIZ
1 - 3
MET
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MAS
2 - 1
QIZ
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 2
SOG
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
PAK
1 - 0
NEF
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
QOQ
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
NEF
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
DSA
1 - 1
NEF
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |