Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
QIZ
4 - 0
LOK
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SHO
2 - 0
QIZ
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
QIZ
0 - 1
NAV
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GHA
1 - 2
QIZ
22%
22%
57%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BUX
4 - 3
QIZ
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 0
IST
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 1
NAS
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SOG
2 - 1
NEF
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
YUZ
1 - 2
NEF
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 1
NEF
18%
24%
59%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |