Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 0
QIZ
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 1
DSA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
2 - 2
QIZ
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUX
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
QIZ
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2012 |
NEF
3 - 0
SAL
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NEF
3 - 0
MAS
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
NEF
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
ALW
3 - 1
NEF
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FKL
1 - 1
NEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |