Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
NAS
1 - 0
QIZ
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
QIZ
0 - 1
FKL
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ORO
0 - 2
QIZ
24%
22%
54%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SHO
0 - 0
QIZ
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
QIZ
0 - 1
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NEF
3 - 0
MAS
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
NAS
2 - 0
NEF
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
NBU
0 - 1
NEF
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NEF
3 - 0
OLM
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FKL
3 - 1
NEF
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |