Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
11º
46
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao West Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 1
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 1
QYI
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
QYI
3 - 3
MEI
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 4
SHA
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
QYI
5 - 2
HAN
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 0
BEI
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WWF
1 - 3
BEI
8%
16%
77%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 1
BEI
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |