Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao West Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
YAN
2 - 2
QYI
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
QYI
4 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
QYI
1 - 2
HKF
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SDO
0 - 0
QYI
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
QYI
1 - 1
NAN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 0
QIN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BEI
1 - 1
WFC
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MEI
3 - 1
BEI
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
BEI
5 - 0
SHE
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
CBC
0 - 1
BEI
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |