Qingdao Red Lions vs Chongqing Tonglianglong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
15º
15º
40
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 55 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 48 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
54% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 26 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Red Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
QFC
0 - 0
DUF
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
QFC
0 - 1
DAL
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QFC
3 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
QFC
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
QFC
3 - 1
JIA
67%
21%
13%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
ANH
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHE
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DAL
1 - 0
CHO
26%
24%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
QFC
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
2 - 0
CHO
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |