Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LIA
0 - 0
QIN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
QIN
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
QIN
0 - 0
CHE
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
QIN
1 - 0
BEI
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
QIN
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 3
BEI
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 2
SHE
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
SHE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 1
JIA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
4 - 2
DAL
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |