Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
QIN
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
QIN
2 - 2
DAL
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QIN
1 - 4
TIT
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
QIN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
QIN
3 - 1
GUA
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 2
HAN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TIT
1 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SHA
17%
26%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
QIN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
SHI
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |