Qingdao Hainiu vs Nanjing City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
QIN
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
QIN
3 - 1
QYI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 5
CBC
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
QIN
7%
15%
78%
|
67 | 22 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 2
YUN
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 0
SHA
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAN
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
SHI
35%
23%
42%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
QFC
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |